Wednesday, October 05, 2016

"This Cannot End Well" Bill Gross* Warns
ANOTHER LOOK AT INVESTMENT OUTLOOK IN CASE YOU MISSED IT YESTERDAY
"Low/negative yields erode and in some cases destroy historical business models which foster savings/investment and ultimately economic growth .. Central bankers cannot continue to double down bets without risking a 'black' or perhaps 'grey' swan moment in global financial markets. At some point investors — leery and indeed weary of receiving negative or near zero returns on their money, may at the margin desert the standard financial complex, for higher returning or better yet, less risky alternatives. Bitcoin and privately agreed upon block chain technologies amongst a small set of global banks, are just a few examples of attempts to stabilize the value of their current assets in future purchasing power terms. Gold would be another example — historic relic that it is. In any case, the current system is beginning to be challenged .. It is capitalism itself that is threatened by the ongoing Martingale strategies of central banks. As central bank purchases grow, and negative/zero interest rate policies persist, they will increasingly inhibit capitalism from carrying out its primary function — the effective allocation of resources based upon return relative to risk .. Central bankers have fostered a casino like atmosphere where savers/investors are presented with a Hobson's Choice, or perhaps a more damaging Sophie's Choice of participating (or not) in markets previously beyond prior imagination. Investors/savers are now scrappin' like mongrel dogs for tidbits of return at the zero bound. This cannot end well."
LINK HERE to the monthly outlook

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